Giants vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

Chicago Cubs' Ian Happ watches his grand slam off Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller during the fifth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Giants are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Giants vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Giants / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Giants are 36-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 35-38 ATS.

Giants vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 6-5, 3.02 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-3, 3.22 ERA

Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +135O 10 -120-115
Cubs +1.5 -165U 10 +100-105

Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 26 games (+32.50 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+21.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 36-37 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -3.41% ROI).

  • 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 39-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • 32-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -13.77% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 35-38 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -11.14% ROI).

  • 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -16.15% ROI
  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 7.54% ROI

Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele (CHC) 5.5 -110 5.5 -115
Logan Webb (SF) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (636/1,415) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (1,202/3,225) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (359/842) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 47% (21 SO in 45 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,037/2,349) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (628/1,437) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (688/925) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,052/1,437) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are just 24-40 (.375) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Giants are 8-104 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Giants are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 50-67 (.427) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 5-4 (.556) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Cubs are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Cubs are just 45-44 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Giants are batting just .246 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .690 (4,301 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

Giants hitters are slugging just .247 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Giants are batting just .226 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Cubs are batting .261 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Cubs hitters are slugging .456 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.

Cubs hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 255 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Cubs have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 526 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Cubs pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
  • Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.