Giants vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 24

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Giants / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Giants are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 22-27 ATS.

Giants vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-1, 3.63 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-2, 4.32 ERA

Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -175O 7.5 -105+120
Mets -1.5 +145U 7.5 -115-145

Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+24.60 Units / 112% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+11.55 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 48 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 25-26 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -3.13% ROI).

  • 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -8.34% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.8% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -10.26% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 22-27 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -11.65% ROI).

  • 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -14.43% ROI
  • 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI
  • 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -7.82% ROI

Mets vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Mets vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Mets vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Mets vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Harrison (SF) 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Christian Scott (NYM) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

Kyle Harrison has walked 13 of 77 right-handed batters (17%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (100/190) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (100/190) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (169/243) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Christian Scott when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (8/27) against Christian Scott this month (3 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Christian Scott has allowed an OBP of .500 (20 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this month (3 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .288 — third Percentile.

Christian Scott has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (18 Total Bases / 26 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .385 — second Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants are just 39-66 (.371) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Giants are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Giants are 47-7 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Giants are 31-16 (.660) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mets are just 8-143 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Mets are just 4-92 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Mets are 169-5 (.971) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Giants hitters are slugging just .408 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .767 (615 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Giants hitters are slugging just .244 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Giants hitters are slugging just .187 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Mets are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Mets are batting just .228 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .841 (353 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.048.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .609 (885 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 113 of 1,888 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 213 of 1,893 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 22 of 180 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have walked 55 of 441 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.