- The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Giants are 26-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 22-28 ATS.
Giants vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-1, 2.36 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-2, 3.46 ERA
Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -130 | -140 |
Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+23.60 Units / 103% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jordan Hicks has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 64% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 26-26 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.56% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 3.52% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -11.89% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 22-28 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -13.01% ROI).
- 21-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -16.68% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -9.67% ROI
Mets vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has thrown 770 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 910 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 31 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .136 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (46/77) against Luis Severino this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a just .182 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 89th Percentile and .667 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fifth worst among qualified SPs)– ninth Percentile.
Luis Severino has walked 13 of 115 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 31-16 (.660) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Giants are just 26-29 (.473) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Giants are just 39-66 (.371) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Giants are 88-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mets are just 4-92 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are just 28-32 (.467) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .407 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have 1,038 strikeouts in 4,241 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.123 (84 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Games involving the Giants went UNDER in 66% of their games (27.1% ROI) after a home loss since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .288 (926 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters are slugging just .334 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .622 (926 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 568 of 8,018 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 27 of 458 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 55 of 450 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 215 of 1,930 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 195 of 1,862 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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