- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Giants are 57-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 64-49 ATS.
Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-0, 3.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-9, 4.52 ERA
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -120 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | +100 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+49.40 Units / 291% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+18.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 away games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+11.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 105 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 55-59 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -6.22% ROI).
- 57-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -4.13% ROI
- 59-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.72% ROI
- 52-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -10.55% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 64-49 against the Run Line (+7.38 Units / 4.96% ROI).
- 51-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.93% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -2.39% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.42 Units / -6.71% ROI
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Casey Schmitt (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Travis Blankenhorn (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (252/892) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (216/735) against MacKenzie Gore on pitches in the strike zone since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (100/323) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (271/497) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Giants are 178-6 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 54-214 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 32-51 (.386) after a home win since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of .740 (1,363 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Giants hitters are slugging just .251 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .316 (2,008 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .696 (5,001 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 975 strikeouts in 5,001 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 237 of 3,884 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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