- The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Giants are 57-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 65-49 ATS.
Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 1-3, 4.29 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 8-9, 3.58 ERA
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -120 | -160 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 8 +100 | +135 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+48.40 Units / 269% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+19.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+16.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 107% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 away games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 106 games (+12.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 106 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 55-60 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 57-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.9% ROI
- 60-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 52-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -11.32% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 65-49 against the Run Line (+8.38 Units / 5.57% ROI).
- 52-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 4.73% ROI
- 56-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 53-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.52 Units / -7.52% ROI
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Harold Ramirez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Blake Snell (SF) | 7.5 +135 | 7.5 -175 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 10% (2/20) against Blake Snell in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 61% (11 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents were hitless in 26 AB’s against Blake Snell in his last start — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 58 of 375 batters (15%) versus the top of the order since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (154/441) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (412/1,151) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (204/537) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (257/938) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 20-118 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 10-123 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are just 28-47 (.373) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 54-214 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 86-131 (.396) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 763 strikeouts in 3,096 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,306 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,306 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 2,263 strikeouts in 11,303 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Nationals hitters have just 1,439 strikeouts in 7,252 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 148 of 2,453 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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