Giants vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

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Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 08, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA | MLBN

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Giants are 58-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 65-50 ATS.

Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 6-5, 4.10 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-4, 4.25 ERA

Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +140O 9 -120-115
Nationals +1.5 -165U 9 +100-105

Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games (+47.40 Units / 249% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+20.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+17.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 away games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+8.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 107 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 56-60 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -6.14% ROI).

  • 58-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -12.08% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 65-50 against the Run Line (+7.18 Units / 4.73% ROI).

  • 52-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.86% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.76% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.62 Units / -8.32% ROI

Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alex Call (WAS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
DJ Herz (WAS) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (202/865) against Kyle Harrison since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (144/658) against Kyle Harrison this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1997.3 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 2528.8 — fifth Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (177/380) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davidjohn Herz has pitched 8.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 23.1.

Davidjohn Herz has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (121/162) of opposing batters this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

37 of Davidjohn Herz’s 59 strikeouts (63%) have come on fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has recorded 37 of his 59 strikeouts (63%) with his fastball this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Giants are just 59-82 (.418) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Giants are just 33-37 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 54-215 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Nationals are just 88-54 (.620) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Giants hitters are slugging just .385 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Giants are batting .352 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .964 (1,913 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.

Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Nationals hitters have just 2,265 strikeouts in 11,313 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 149 of 2,462 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.