Giants vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA | MLBN

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Giants are 58-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 65-50 ATS.

Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 6-5, 4.10 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-4, 4.25 ERA

Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +140O 9 -120-115
Nationals +1.5 -165U 9 +100-105

Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Giants vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games (+47.40 Units / 249% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+20.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+17.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 away games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+8.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 107 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 56-60 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -6.14% ROI).

  • 58-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -12.08% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 65-50 against the Run Line (+7.18 Units / 4.73% ROI).

  • 52-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.86% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.76% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.62 Units / -8.32% ROI

Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alex Call (WAS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
DJ Herz (WAS) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (202/865) against Kyle Harrison since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (144/658) against Kyle Harrison this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1997.3 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 2528.8 — fifth Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (177/380) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davidjohn Herz has pitched 8.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 23.1.

Davidjohn Herz has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (121/162) of opposing batters this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

37 of Davidjohn Herz’s 59 strikeouts (63%) have come on fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has recorded 37 of his 59 strikeouts (63%) with his fastball this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Giants are just 59-82 (.418) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Giants are just 33-37 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 54-215 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Nationals are just 88-54 (.620) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Giants hitters are slugging just .385 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Giants are batting .352 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .964 (1,913 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.

Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Nationals hitters have just 2,265 strikeouts in 11,313 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 149 of 2,462 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

Bet now on Giants vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.