- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Giants are 58-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 65-50 ATS.
Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 6-5, 4.10 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-4, 4.25 ERA
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Giants | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -120 | -115 |
Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | -105 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games (+47.40 Units / 249% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+20.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+17.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 107% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 away games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+8.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 107 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 56-60 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 58-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 3.27% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -12.08% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 65-50 against the Run Line (+7.18 Units / 4.73% ROI).
- 52-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.62 Units / -8.32% ROI
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
DJ Herz (WAS) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (202/865) against Kyle Harrison since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (144/658) against Kyle Harrison this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1997.3 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 2528.8 — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (177/380) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has pitched 8.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 23.1.
Davidjohn Herz has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (121/162) of opposing batters this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
37 of Davidjohn Herz’s 59 strikeouts (63%) have come on fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has recorded 37 of his 59 strikeouts (63%) with his fastball this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are just 59-82 (.418) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Giants are just 33-37 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 54-215 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 88-54 (.620) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .385 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Giants are batting .352 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .964 (1,913 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,265 strikeouts in 11,313 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 149 of 2,462 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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