- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Guardians vs Angels Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Angels TV Channel: BSGL | BSW
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 34-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 28-23 ATS.
Guardians vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-1, 3.96 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 2-4, 3.33 ERA
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -135 |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -130 | +110 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+28.70 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+16.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 28 games (+33.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+13.35 Units / 134% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.82 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 49% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-20 against the Run Line (+15.2 Units / 24.38% ROI).
- 34-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.82 Units / 22.53% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.62% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -7.64% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 28-23 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -8.47% ROI).
- 20-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 8.52% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -17.37% ROI
Angels vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Angels vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has walked 9 of 53 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .394 (13-for-33) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — fourth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .111 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (48/68) against Jose Soriano this month (4 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (24/34) against Jose Soriano — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (24/34) against Jose Soriano over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (48/95) this month (4 games) — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 25-135 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Guardians are 36-128 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 9-85 (.096) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Guardians are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 81-10 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Angels are just 104-45 (.698) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Angels are just 16-26 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 76-15 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,853 strikeouts in 10,160 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,099 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Angels have won just 22% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,099 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .775 (399 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 195 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Guardians pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (207.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,368 of 14,290 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 199 of 1,891 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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