- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Guardians vs Angels Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Angels TV Channel: BSGL | BSW
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 35-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 29-23 ATS.
Guardians vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 3-2, 2.84 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-4, 5.77 ERA
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| Angels | U |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 30 games (+33.20 Units / 111% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 29 games (+32.60 Units / 112% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+13.35 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+15.82 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-21 against the Run Line (+14.2 Units / 22.42% ROI).
- 35-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.82 Units / 23.53% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -5.73% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 29-23 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -7.04% ROI).
- 20-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -13.38% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 6.44% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -15.28% ROI
Angels vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Angels vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .134 (9-for-67) against Ben Lively this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .134 against Ben Lively vs left-handed batters this season — second best among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP– 99th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .296 (55-for-186) against him last season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 10th Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed an OBP of .420 (50 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — second Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (38/86) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (95/196) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .228 (29-for-127) against Reid Detmers with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed a slugging percentage of .472 (34 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — fifth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 36-128 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 25-135 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are 9-85 (.096) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 64-32 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Angels are just 81-10 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Angels are just 8-93 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Angels are just 104-45 (.698) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,863 strikeouts in 10,190 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 20% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Angels hitters have 2,646 strikeouts in 10,327 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 204 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 200 of 1,900 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.71 (216.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Angels have allowed 6.00 runs per game (144/24) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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