The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Guardians are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-13 ATS.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -145 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 10-9 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.32% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.02 Units / -5.36% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / 4.2% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 8-13 against the Run Line (+0.12 Units / -24.44% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -27.13% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -22.13% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / 14.04% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has an average spin rate of 2198.8 RPM on curveballs since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2529.5 — 12th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie’s highest spin rate on curveballs inside since the 2022 season is 2443.0 RPM — 6th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2766.8
Triston McKenzie’s lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2022 season is 49.0 RPM — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1212.5
The hardest ball hit off of Triston McKenzie since the 2021 season was 120.1 MPH — 2nd hardest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 115.6
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a slugging percentage of .400 (80 Total Bases / 200 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a slugging percentage of .643 (191 Total Bases / 297 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .503 — second Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed an OPS of 1.110 (82 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (122 Total Bases / 191 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .455 — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 22-21 (.512) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,682 times in the 2023 season — 5th most in MLB.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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