- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Dodgers TV Channel: BSGL | SNLA | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 80-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 69-71 ATS.
Guardians vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 1-1, 2.38 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 11-5, 3.53 ERA
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +130 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -155 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+20.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+18.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.50 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 39 games (+24.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+17.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 away games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 140 games (+10.22 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+14.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 70-70 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 1.35% ROI).
- 80-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.22 Units / 5.7% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -4.56% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -4.27% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 69-71 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -3.9% ROI).
- 84-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 75-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 62-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -13.35% ROI
Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 80.2.
Matthew Boyd has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (24/90) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 17% — 86th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown off-speed pitches 55% of the time (47/86) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .278 (81-for-291) against Gavin Stone this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% (92/256) against Gavin Stone on fastballs since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 15% (18 SO in 121 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Gavin Stone has allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (132 Total Bases / 291 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — ninth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 71-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are 13-24 (.351) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 257-47 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 157-27 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,293 strikeouts in 12,429 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (12,935 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (8,426 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (2108.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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