- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Orioles TV Channel: BSGL
The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Guardians are 49-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 45-32 ATS.
Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 5-2, 3.69 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 3.94 ERA
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+40.00 Units / 308% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+18.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 29 games (+28.80 Units / 99% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+13.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 51% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 75 games (+18.62 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+14.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 68 games (+20.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 43-32 against the Run Line (+16.9 Units / 18.72% ROI).
- 49-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.62 Units / 19.06% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -7.64% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-32 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 22.62% ROI).
- 49-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.7 Units / 11.65% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -19.17% ROI
Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has struck out 61% (17/28) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .222 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 55% (12 SO in 22 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .264 (33 Total Bases / 125 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.1 innings pitched — Justin Martinez has the longest active streak at 21.2.
Cade Povich has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (11 Total Bases / 45 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 93rd Percentile.
Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of just .499 (51 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 90th Percentile.
Cade Povich has walked 9 of 69 batters (13%) this month (3 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are 14-10 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Guardians are 37-135 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Guardians are 47-51 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 56-42 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 110-16 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,947 strikeouts in 10,742 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,152 strikeouts in 6,158 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .289 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .568 against RHP this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Orioles hitters are slugging .461 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have allowed 0.65 runs per game (49/75) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 242 of 3,590 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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