- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Orioles TV Channel: BSGL
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Guardians are 50-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 45-33 ATS.
Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-3, 3.42 ERA
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 9 +100 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -120 | -150 |
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+39.00 Units / 279% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+19.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 30 games (+27.80 Units / 93% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+14.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+19.62 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 62 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+19.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 44-32 against the Run Line (+17.9 Units / 19.38% ROI).
- 50-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.62 Units / 19.86% ROI
- 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.78% ROI
- 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -6.33% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-33 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 21.27% ROI).
- 49-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 9.25% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.6 Units / 10.2% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -17.74% ROI
Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .457 (16-for-35) against Logan Allen on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .397 (29-for-73) against Logan Allen on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (74 Total Bases / 110 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .427 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.093 (126 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .747 — second Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (10/103) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (30/204) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cole Irvin has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (32 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .365 — third Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are 14-10 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Guardians are 37-135 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Guardians are 17-6 (.739) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Orioles are 110-16 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 19-14 (.576) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,950 strikeouts in 10,746 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters have 110 extra-base hits out of 259 total hits (42%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .454 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have allowed 0.64 runs per game (49/76) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 242 of 3,599 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Orioles vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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