- The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Guardians vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Rangers TV Channel: BSGL | BSSW
The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Guardians are 25-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 18-24 ATS.
Guardians vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-1, 4.95 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-2, 4.71 ERA
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 30 games (+27.20 Units / 91% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+12.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+15.00 Units / 125% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 141 games (+14.18 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games at home (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.17 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 24-17 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 16.09% ROI).
- 25-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.82 Units / 12.5% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -11.32% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-24 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -15.02% ROI).
- 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -6.11% ROI
- 17-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -18.07% ROI
- 23-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 9.31% ROI
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .406 (13-for-32) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (34/138) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (34/138) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (27-for-63) against Tanner Bibee’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of .983 (51 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .622 — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of .400 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (29 Total Bases / 46 ABs) over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .364 — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of 1.386 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .602 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 36-127 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 13-74 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Guardians are 20-70 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Guardians are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 3-158 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 4-69 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 8-144 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 2-77 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,580 strikeouts in 13,798 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .365 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians hitters have just 1,802 strikeouts in 9,885 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .826 (3,799 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Rangers hitters are slugging .481 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .267 (4,135 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 112 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .186 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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