- The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Guardians vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Rangers TV Channel: BSGL | BSSW
The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Guardians are 26-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 18-25 ATS.
Guardians vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 1-2, 2.64 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 0-0, 12.39 ERA
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | O 9 +100 | +100 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -120 | -120 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+26.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+14.00 Units / 108% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+11.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 117 games (+9.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games at home (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 73 of their last 138 games (+13.18 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.17 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 25-17 against the Run Line (+9.65 Units / 18.68% ROI).
- 26-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.82 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -8.88% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-25 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- 22-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -19.98% ROI
- 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 11.21% ROI
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .393 (11-for-28) against Ben Lively — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (100/352) against Ben Lively since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (11/50) against Ben Lively in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 11th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 36-127 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 9-84 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Guardians are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 25-134 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rangers are just 3-159 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-78 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rangers are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .243 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .365 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,807 strikeouts in 9,919 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .344 (3,832 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 113 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .822 (3,832 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .778 (5,823 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 160 of 1,608 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (196.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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