- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Rangers TV Channel: BSGL | BSSW
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Guardians are 27-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 18-26 ATS.
Guardians vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-3, 5.36 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 1-1, 2.37 ERA
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 +100 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -160 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+30.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+13.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.82 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 26-17 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 19.91% ROI).
- 27-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.82 Units / 15.56% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 2.42% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -10.82% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-26 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -19.12% ROI).
- 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -9.89% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -17.42% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 8.9% ROI
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .385 (57-for-148) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.020 (153 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .742 — second Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (156 Total Bases / 183 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .595 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .851 (178 PA’s) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (81/192) against Jon Gray this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 54% of the time (806/1,486) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (24/85) against Jon Gray this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (68/199) against Jon Gray this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 36-127 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 9-84 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Guardians are 25-134 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 30-27 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rangers are just 153-24 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are just 20-26 (.435) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,810 strikeouts in 9,961 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians are batting just .245 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,871 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters are slugging .478 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,122 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .822 (3,871 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.72 runs per game (31/43) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 166 of 1,650 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.02 (59.0 IP) over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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