- The Guardians are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Cleveland Guardians (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 24-15 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 19-20 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-2, 3.90 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger 0-1, 11.58 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | -165 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | +140 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 28 games (+24.50 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+17.70 Units / 443% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.90 Units / 132% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 23-16 against the Run Line (+8.25 Units / 17.03% ROI).
- 24-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.57 Units / 14.79% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 8.15% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -16.55% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 19-20 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -9.12% ROI).
- 11-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -31.81% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.33% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger (CWS) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
| Triston McKenzie (CLE) | 5.5 +150 | 5.5 -200 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 16 of 97 batters (17%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 21 of 149 batters (14%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (178-for-875) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (43/146) against Mike Clevinger in two-strike counts since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (50/195) against Mike Clevinger since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .243 (27-for-111) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .177 (22-for-124) against Mike Clevinger with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 25-132 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 13-72 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The White Sox are just 59-9 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 51-19 (.729) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 23-47 (.329) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .241 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,789 strikeouts in 9,832 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 803 of 7,784 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The White Sox have won just 13% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 149 of 1,483 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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