- The Guardians are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Cleveland Guardians (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 24-16 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-20 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 4.61 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-4, 6.29 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -105 | -165 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | U 9 -115 | +140 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+28.20 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.70 Units / 334% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 123 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 23-17 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 14.43% ROI).
- 24-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.82 Units / 11% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 5.45% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -13.86% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-20 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 12-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -27.04% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.06% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan Ramos (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Michael Soroka (CWS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Logan Allen’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — second Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.091 (69 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .658 — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 12% (20 SO in 172 PAs) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 7% (5 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 7% (5 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 17 of 90 left-handed batters (19%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 25-132 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 36-125 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 59-9 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The White Sox are just 51-19 (.729) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 56-13 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,795 strikeouts in 9,853 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .364 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,337 of 13,961 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 15% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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