- The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mariners vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Athletics TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Seattle Mariners (-155) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 69-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 75-63 ATS.
Mariners vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 11-12, 3.66 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: J.T. Ginn 0-0, 5.20 ERA
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 games (+23.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games (+27.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+18.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+16.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 51% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 away games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 away games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 58-80 against the Run Line (-27.15 Units / -15.66% ROI).
- 69-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -9.84% ROI
- 61-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 71-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 2.64% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 75-63 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -0.74% ROI).
- 60-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 63-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.85 Units / -11.09% ROI
- 72-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 1.45% ROI
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .567 (17 Total Bases / 30 ABs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Luis Castillo has struck out 29% (103/350) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 87th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 61 of 774 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 21st Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 39% (78 SO in 198 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.T. Ginn has limited playing time.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 109-17 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mariners are 58-7 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Mariners are 40-5 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 135-86 (.611) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 35-58 (.376) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .199 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .223 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .148 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Athletics are batting just .218 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .278 (4,931 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Mariners have allowed 3.03 runs per game (209/69) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Mariners pitchers have walked 160 of 2,680 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (1264.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have walked 248 of 2,648 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (1951.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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