Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mariners vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mariners / Athletics TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA

The Seattle Mariners (-145) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 69-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 76-63 ATS.

Mariners vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 10-10, 3.51 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 11-9, 4.26 ERA

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +115O 7.5 -115-145
Athletics +1.5 -140U 7.5 -105+120

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+22.40 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+15.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 48 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 48 games (+26.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+19.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+19.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+17.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 away games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 58 of their last 106 games (+4.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 away games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+15.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 96 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 58-81 against the Run Line (-28.15 Units / -16.14% ROI).

  • 69-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -10.63% ROI
  • 61-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -11.37% ROI
  • 72-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 3.27% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 76-63 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.19% ROI).

  • 61-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.26% ROI
  • 63-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -11.79% ROI
  • 73-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 2.09% ROI

Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
J.P. Crawford (SEA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Justin Turner (SEA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears (OAK) 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
George Kirby (Sea) 6.5 -105 6.5 -125

George Kirby has walked 6 of 252 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .249 (60-for-241) against George Kirby when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 70th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed an OBP of just .268 (250 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 81st Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 10 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 92nd Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

JP Sears has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 11st — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.

JP Sears has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 5th — tied with Joey Estes and Slade Cecconi for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 107-19 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The Mariners are 58-7 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Mariners are 25-14 (.641) after a home win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Mariners are 134-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.

The Athletics are just 90-142 (.388) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Athletics are just 136-86 (.613) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Mariners have scored first in 78% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Mariners have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Mariners have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

The Mariners have answered-back in just 24% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Athletics won only 31% of games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Mariners pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 49% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Athletics have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Athletics pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.