- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mariners vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Athletics TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Seattle Mariners (-150) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Thursday, September 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 70-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 76-64 ATS.
Mariners vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 6-2, 2.31 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 6-6, 4.33 ERA
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 +100 | -150 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -120 | +125 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+22.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+25.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+20.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+20.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 away games (+16.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 away games (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+14.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 97 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 59-81 against the Run Line (-26.95 Units / -15.36% ROI).
- 70-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 62-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 72-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.5% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 76-64 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -0.95% ROI).
- 61-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 64-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 73-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 1.33% ROI
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (70/254) against Bryan Woo against right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (953/1,287) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 74% (121/163) in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .255 (74 Total Bases / 290 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (34/155) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (38/189) against Joey Estes in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (77/327) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (43/172) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 68-13 (.840) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 44-19 (.698) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Mariners are 135-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Mariners are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Athletics are just 136-86 (.613) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 108-156 (.409) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Athletics are just 111-190 (.369) since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .195 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,394 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .218 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,791 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (12,699 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (1,243 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .278 (4,997 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mariners pitchers have walked 65 of 1,243 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (1264.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 4.96 (2656.0 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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