- The Guardians are -140 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Mariners are 44-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 39-31 ATS.
Mariners vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 3-0, 1.07 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-2, 3.98 ERA
Mariners vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -140 |
Mariners vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+22.40 Units / 224% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+16.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 46 games (+33.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.35 Units / 54% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 63 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+13.62 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 37-38 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -3.13% ROI).
- 44-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 28-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -24.29% ROI
- 44-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 15.5% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 39-31 against the Run Line (+11.7 Units / 13.72% ROI).
- 44-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.62 Units / 14.96% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.9% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -5.29% ROI
Guardians vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Guardians vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Guardians vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .342 (119 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .139 (16-for-115) against Bryan Woo this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .160 (119 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (21 Total Bases / 115 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .230 (126 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (21-for-166) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 92nd Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 52% (11 SO in 21 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (19-for-63) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 172-7 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 90-15 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mariners are 9-2 (.818) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Mariners are 33-5 (.868) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians are 12-10 (.545) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Guardians are 37-135 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 9-94 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Guardians are 21-9 (.700) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .222 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mariners hitters have 54 strikeouts in 169 PA’s (32%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,919 strikeouts in 10,603 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 33 of 666 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .237 (666 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1099.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have allowed 0.69 runs per game (48/70) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 42 batters (24%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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