Mariners vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Mariners vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Mariners / Tigers TV Channel: RTNW | BSDT

The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Mariners are 63-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 62-57 ATS.

Mariners vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-8, 2.99 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 13-4, 2.58 ERA

Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +155O 7 +100-110
Tigers +1.5 -190U 7 -120-110

Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 away games (+16.10 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 31 games (+17.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.35 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 86 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 102 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 104% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 65% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 53-66 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -10.42% ROI).

  • 63-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 50-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -15.95% ROI
  • 65-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 7.74% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 62-57 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.89% ROI).

  • 56-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -6.05% ROI
  • 62-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • 50-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.2 Units / -14.23% ROI

Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Dylan Moore (SEA) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Victor Robles (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Justin Turner (SEA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Justin Turner (SEA) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 7.5 -110 7.5 -120

George Kirby has walked 16 of 568 batters (3%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 5 of 216 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 12 of 493 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 11.5 (69/6) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.7 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .163 (522 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .223 (206 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (15-for-126) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has 45 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mariners are 66-13 (.835) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.

The Mariners are 17-100 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mariners are 165-27 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Mariners are 8-43 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Tigers are just 39-11 (.780) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are just 9-17 (.346) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Tigers are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Tigers are just 114-9 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Mariners are batting just .206 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Mariners hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,505 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (12,505 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .363 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (574.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

The Mariners have allowed 3.03 runs per game (191/63) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .278 (4,259 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 312 of 4,413 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 327 of 3,930 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
  • J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.