- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Mariners vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Tigers TV Channel: RTNW | BSDT | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Thursday, August 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Mariners are 63-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 64-57 ATS.
Mariners vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 9-7, 3.48 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alex Faedo 5-3, 3.65 ERA
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -105 | -135 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -115 | +115 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 16 away games (+15.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.85 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+28.50 Units / 219% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 88 games (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 104 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 53-68 against the Run Line (-18.6 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 63-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -5.98% ROI
- 51-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.75 Units / -15.77% ROI
- 66-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 7.5% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 64-57 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 0.82% ROI).
- 58-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 5.36% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.35 Units / -14.1% ROI
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Faedo (DET) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +120 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (13 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has walked 7 of 207 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (61/207) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .241 (519 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (57/193) against Alex Faedo with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 39% — third Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of .703 (26 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .324 — third Percentile.
Alex Faedo has a strike rate of just 58% (182/315) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed an OPS of .915 (120 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are just 5-19 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Mariners are 165-27 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 52-1 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mariners are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 46-6 (.885) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Tigers are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Tigers are just 40-11 (.784) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Tigers are 62-14 (.816) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .196 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .206 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,583 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .656 (12,583 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (16,439 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (574.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (1318.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .280 (4,340 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 329 of 3,949 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 318 of 4,485 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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