- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: RTNW | NSCH
The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 53-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-58 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 7-7, 3.04 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Drew Thorpe 3-1, 3.06 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -115 | -160 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -105 | +135 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games at home (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.70 Units / 80% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 away games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 45-59 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -13.98% ROI).
- 53-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -7.72% ROI
- 41-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.3 Units / -20.61% ROI
- 59-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.85 Units / 12.16% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-58 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -13.01% ROI).
- 27-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -42.3 Units / -39.11% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -13.52% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 5.31% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -140 |
| Drew Thorpe (CWS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 13 of 493 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 189 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 267 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 12.2 (61/5) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.7 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Thorpe has allowed an OPS of just .111 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (9-for-63) against Drew Thorpe this month (3 games) — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (2-for-30) against Drew Thorpe with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .151 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Mariners are 55-7 (.887) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 190-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 121-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 17-60 (.221) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The White Sox are just 9-33 (.214) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The White Sox are just 71-60 (.542) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The White Sox are just 6-14 (.300) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Mariners are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .202 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 49 of 924 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 667 of 9,711 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 14% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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