- The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: RTNW | NSCH
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 55-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-60 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 7-7, 3.44 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-7, 3.07 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | O 7 -110 | -115 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 7 -110 | -105 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 away games (+11.95 Units / 109% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games at home (+14.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Garrett Crochet has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 47-59 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 43-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -18.48% ROI
- 59-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.65 Units / 10.03% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-60 against the Run Line (-18.85 Units / -14.63% ROI).
- 27-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -44.3 Units / -40.22% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.31% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has walked 7 of 180 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (12 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (38/116) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 41% (76 SO in 186 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 42% (39 SO in 92 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (727/1,793) this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 35% (157 SO in 444 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 57-7 (.891) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 64-12 (.842) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Mariners are 123-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 33-3 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 23-27 (.460) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The White Sox are just 9-33 (.214) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The White Sox are just 6-14 (.300) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The White Sox are just 13-13 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners hitters have 813 strikeouts in 2,856 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .218 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 49 of 942 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .249 (942 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (492.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1236.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,059 of 10,400 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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