- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Mets vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Brewers TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Wednesday, October 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mets are 90-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 82-81 ATS.
Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 12-6, 3.49 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.84 ERA
Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 104 games (+21.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 105 games (+16.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 away games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 82 away games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+3.32 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 163 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 163 games (+9.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 82 of their last 159 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 91 of their last 163 games (+8.77 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+4.77 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 84-79 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 1.47% ROI).
- 90-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 4% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.1% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -7.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 82-81 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 93-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 83-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 70-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.45 Units / -11.9% ROI
Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (MIL) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (986/2,046) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (321/632) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (136/383) against Sean Manaea this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .187 (48-for-257) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 94th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (71/230) against Frankie Montas since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 5 of 28 right-handed batters (18%) in his last three starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 22 of 180 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.167 (25 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last three starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .627 — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mets are 8-59 (.119) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 47-10 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Mets are just 65-13 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Mets are just 128-19 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 37-84 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Brewers are 51-129 (.283) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Brewers are 129-23 (.849) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 25-19 (.568) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Mets have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Mets won only 40% of their road games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 1,181 strikeouts in 4,888 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 23% on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,763/18,376 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 169 walks in 1,640 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (933.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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