- The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Mets vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Brewers TV Channel: SNY | BSWI
The New York Mets (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mets are 87-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 80-79 ATS.
Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 12-5, 3.31 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.85 ERA
Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Sean Manaea has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+33.80 Units / 178% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+19.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+17.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 74% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 98 games (+21.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+11.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 159 games (+10.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 159 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 155 games (+9.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 159 games (+7.12 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-76 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 4.29% ROI
- 78-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 72-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -7.46% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 80-79 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -1.66% ROI).
- 91-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 5.38% ROI
- 81-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 4.11% ROI
- 68-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.25 Units / -12.08% ROI
Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (MIL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has a strike rate of 74% (128/174) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 29 of 279 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .198 (127-for-643) against Sean Manaea this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .184 (46-for-250) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 94th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 54% (398/744) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 20 of 175 batters (11%) versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 65% (32 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .717 (114 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .578 — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mets are 7-57 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 16-8 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 90-38 (.703) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Mets are 73-21 (.777) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 37-83 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Brewers are 18-44 (.290) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Brewers are 45-26 (.634) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .330 (1,621 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have drawn 31 walks in 252 PA’s (12%) against LHP this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets are batting .244 with two outs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .326 (4,497 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,155 of 11,997 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets have won 83% of games in which their opponents scored first this month (21 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (468.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Brewers pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (1608.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Brewers pitchers have 412 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
