- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 12 Runs
- Mets / Cubs TV Channel: FS1 | SNY | MARQ
The New York Mets (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mets are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-40 ATS.
Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 2-3, 3.53 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-3, 3.08 ERA
Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +135 | O 11 -105 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | U 11 -115 | -105 |
Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+18.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+16.20 Units / 405% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 37 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+20.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games (+16.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games at home (+1.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 35-39 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.75% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -8.82% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 36-40 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -11.7% ROI).
- 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -14.34% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 5.8% ROI
Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (96/425) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (379/700) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 61% (1,679/2,763) since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (33-for-77) against Tylor Megill on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .344 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/31) against Jameson Taillon this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Jameson Taillon — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 463 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 12% (12 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Mets are just 23-10 (.697) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Mets are just 28-6 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Mets are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Cubs are just 45-44 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cubs are just 5-173 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 6-92 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters are slugging .599 against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .774 (822 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Mets hitters are slugging .449 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .326 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .460 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 65 of 667 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 285 of 2,840 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 34 double plays in 557 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Cubs pitchers this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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