- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Mariners TV Channel: WPIX | RTNW | MLBN
The New York Mets (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Mets are 61-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 51-66 ATS.
Mets vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 8-4, 3.33 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 6-8, 3.06 ERA
Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -115 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Mets vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+34.50 Units / 246% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+22.70 Units / 227% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 107 games (+10.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games at home (+19.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+12.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 51 games at home (+1.95 Units / 3% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 57-59 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.49% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.68% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.9 Units / -7.17% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 51-66 against the Run Line (-18.85 Units / -12.8% ROI).
- 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -5.91% ROI
- 49-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.6 Units / -16.18% ROI
- 64-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 7.95% ROI
Mariners vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of 70% (21 SO in 30 PAs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 46 of 498 batters (9%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 21 of 198 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 36 of 394 right-handed batters (9%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 11th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .167 (33-for-198) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .238 (563 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .198 (207 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .194 (206 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Mets are just 14-59 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Mets are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 44-11 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Mets are 121-29 (.807) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Mariners are 65-13 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Mariners are just 5-18 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Mariners are 10-6 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Mariners are 57-7 (.891) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .257 (8,932 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mets are batting just .234 at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mets are batting .180 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have 2,059 strikeouts in 7,691 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Mariners hitters have 1,192 strikeouts in 4,314 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 433 of 4,425 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,024 of 10,509 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 231 of 2,451 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (556.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Mariners have allowed 3.11 runs per game (190/61) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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