- The Mets are +100 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mets vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Mariners TV Channel: SNY | RTNW | MLBN
The New York Mets (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Mets are 61-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 50-66 ATS.
Mets vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-7, 3.93 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 8-7, 3.65 ERA
Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -105 | -130 |
Mets vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+35.50 Units / 273% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+22.70 Units / 227% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+10.15 Units / 94% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 106 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+18.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games at home (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 57-58 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 61-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.4% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -8.05% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 50-66 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -14.01% ROI).
- 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 49-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.5 Units / -15.45% ROI
- 63-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 7.24% ROI
Mariners vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Jose Quintana’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (907/1,546) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 13% (11 SO in 87 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,168/1,968) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (59/200) against Bryce Miller this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (12 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (11-for-68) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .232 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 94th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Mets are 6-44 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are just 107-17 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Mets are just 40-11 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Mets are just 44-11 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Mariners are 105-19 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mariners are 195-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are just 5-18 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Mariners are 185-11 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,225 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mets hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Mets are batting .267 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Mets won only 40% of their road games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .203 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners hitters have 2,059 strikeouts in 7,687 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (547.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Mariners pitchers have walked 54 of 1,033 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mariners have allowed 3.17 runs per game (190/60) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Mariners vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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