- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Mets are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 24-19 ATS.
Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 7-0, 1.54 ERA
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -110 | +165 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -110 | -200 |
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+14.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+5.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 26 games (+19.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+16.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 26 games (+15.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-22 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -12.02% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.41% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 24-19 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 11.97% ROI).
- 30-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 16.12% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1.91% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -6.94% ROI
Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Joey Lucchesi (NYM) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Adrian Houser when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (397/534) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (1,653/2,397) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 48% of Adrian Houser’s pitches (73/151) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.0 MPH this season (112 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.0 MPH (112 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .210 (195 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of 81% (103/128) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 3-87 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Mets are just 9-44 (.170) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mets are just 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 9-75 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 71-47 (.602) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging just .322 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .787 (290 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.053.
The Mets are batting just .205 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .606 (885 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .505 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .334 (4,196 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Phillies hitters are slugging .241 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 71% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 187 of 1,587 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 61 of 474 batters (13%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 186 of 1,783 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 46 of 371 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .119 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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