- The Mets are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mets vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Rangers TV Channel: SNY | BSSW
The New York Mets (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mets are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 31-41 ATS.
Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 4-2, 3.10 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-3, 2.90 ERA
Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.10 Units / 262% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.80 Units / 74% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+21.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+18.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 away games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 away games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+17.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-37 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -7.61% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-41 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -16.87% ROI).
- 33-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -14.12% ROI
- 26-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.4 Units / -26.88% ROI
- 43-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.75 Units / 18.72% ROI
Rangers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rangers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (14/113) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (38/227) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (66/113) against Luis Severino this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (31/188) against Luis Severino on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (11-for-110) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .331 (127 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (13 Total Bases / 110 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 47 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mets are just 22-10 (.688) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Mets are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Mets are just 9-12 (.429) after a home loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Mets are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rangers are just 3-177 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 6-11 (.353) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .279 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,213 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Mets hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .899 (505 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.041.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (357 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Rangers hitters are slugging .464 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,961/15,028 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 177 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 63 of 641 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 276 of 2,732 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 266 of 2,696 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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