- The Mets are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Mets / Rockies TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The New York Mets (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+130) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Mets are 59-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 57-56 ATS.
Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 7-4, 3.91 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 3-4, 5.68 ERA
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -105 | O 11.5 -120 | -155 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | U 11.5 +100 | +130 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+37.50 Units / 341% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 31 games (+36.80 Units / 119% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+10.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 103 games (+13.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 71 games (+8.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games at home (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-57 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -10.77% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 57-56 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -8.03% ROI).
- 41-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -7.12% ROI
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (32/182) against Luis Severino this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (66/369) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (222/520) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (33 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 18th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (122 Total Bases / 198 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .399 (79-for-198) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are just 43-11 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Mets are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mets are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (11,573 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,980 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .745 (8,383 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 55% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies hitters have 322 strikeouts in 1,170 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 421 of 4,278 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,012 of 10,362 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 229 of 2,417 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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