- The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Mets / Rockies TV Channel: SNY | ROTV | MLBN
The New York Mets (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Mets are 60-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 58-57 ATS.
Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 5-1, 3.51 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 3-7, 4.71 ERA
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -110 | O 10.5 -120 | -160 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 10.5 +100 | +135 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+36.50 Units / 304% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 33 games (+34.80 Units / 105% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 105 games (+11.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 73 games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 56-58 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.88% ROI).
- 60-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.69% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.52% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.94% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 58-57 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -7.97% ROI).
- 42-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -7.54% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -5.41% ROI
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .382 (469 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (56/98) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,208/3,635) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (61/104) against David Peterson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .755 (37 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
15 of Austin Gomber’s 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (61/351) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (172/884) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 6-44 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Mets are just 43-11 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Mets are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 85-13 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 71-42 (.628) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 76-20 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (11,626 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .739 (11,626 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Mets hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Mets hitters are slugging .624 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .282 (524 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 425 of 4,351 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 90 of 1,022 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 230 of 2,434 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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