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- Mets vs Yankees Over / Under today: Runs
- Mets / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mets are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-49 ATS.
Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 6-4, 3.77 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-1, 4.66 ERA
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+32.50 Units / 464% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.30 Units / 121% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.44 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 48-52 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.32% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -12.6% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-49 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 9.17% ROI).
- 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.76% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -10.75% ROI
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 20 of 171 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .340 (16-for-47) against Sean Manaea on low fastballs this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 15th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 41 of 424 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .548 (637 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .544 (349 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .722 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (178 Total Bases / 595 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .248 (636 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are just 36-11 (.766) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Mets are 7-32 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Mets are just 99-17 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 11-14 (.440) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Yankees are 61-19 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 19-10 (.655) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .265 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets are batting .455 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,082 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Mets are batting .360 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 122 walks in 1,033 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,891 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,280 of their 9,897 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 396 walks in 3,750 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 387 of 3,841 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 223 of 2,310 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers are throwing 4.03 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Yankees vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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