- The Braves are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MASN | BSSE
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 58-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 56-72 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 9-10, 3.83 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 7-7, 4.36 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 45 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+19.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 121 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 121 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 away games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 114 games (+31.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 73-56 against the Run Line (+8.93 Units / 5.29% ROI).
- 58-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.17 Units / -7.1% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 56-72 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -12.83% ROI).
- 69-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -9.83% ROI
- 47-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.55 Units / -25.47% ROI
- 76-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.05 Units / 16.91% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (461/1,337) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (173/501) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (276/998) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Jake Irvin when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .217 — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (740 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — eighth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (397/1,120) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .358 (466 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (169/462) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Nationals are just 55-222 (.199) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 26-37 (.413) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 69-114 (.377) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 76-135 (.360) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Braves are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 88-50 (.638) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .380 with two-strikes this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Nationals are batting .231 with two-strikes this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Nationals hitters have put 38% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .483 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .820 (2,659 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Braves are batting .270 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,067 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
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