- The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Cardinals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSMW
The Washington Nationals (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Nationals are 48-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-51 ATS.
Nationals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 7-8, 3.46 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-3, 3.98 ERA
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+15.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trey Lipscomb has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 46 games (+32.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+26.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+16.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 66% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 96 games (+10.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 96 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+1.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 58-46 against the Run Line (+5.58 Units / 4.11% ROI).
- 48-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -5.1% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.52 Units / -3.92% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 52-51 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -1.46% ROI).
- 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -5.43% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.58% ROI
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (147/404) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (674/1,946) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (28/170) against Jake Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Jake Irvin has walked 8 of 229 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (228/416) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 18 of 106 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (533/928) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,061/1,758) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 53-209 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 52-77 (.403) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 23-35 (.397) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Cardinals are just 56-60 (.483) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Cardinals are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Cardinals are just 24-60 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,120 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,120 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,680 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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