- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | MASN | ESPN+
The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Nationals are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 33-25 ATS.
Nationals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-5, 3.45 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-4, 5.17 ERA
Nationals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Nationals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+22.90 Units / 109% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 36 games (+32.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+16.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 61% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 49 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 51% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games (+16.97 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 35-22 against the Run Line (+10.48 Units / 14.26% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 13.66% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -13.92% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.38 Units / 5.34% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 33-25 against the Run Line (+12.35 Units / 17.77% ROI).
- 39-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.97 Units / 22.28% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 2.26% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -10.5% ROI
Guardians vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Guardians vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 117 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 117 right-handed batters (1%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin’s K:BB ratio is 28.0 (28/1) against right-handed batters this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has walked 4 of 99 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .387 (60-for-155) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .460 (87-for-189) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (141-for-391) against Carlos Carrasco on pitches in the strike zone since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .284 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OBP of .386 (402 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 24-44 (.353) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Nationals are just 55-96 (.364) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Guardians are 20-73 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 36-130 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 50-8 (.862) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Nationals hitters have just 873 strikeouts in 4,420 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,874 strikeouts in 10,291 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .254 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .353 (3,346 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Guardians have allowed 0.74 runs per game (43/58) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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