- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Nationals are 54-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 64-55 ATS.
Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 8-10, 3.78 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-10, 4.74 ERA
Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -115 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | U 9 -105 | -175 |
Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 36 games (+18.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 50 games (+33.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+10.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 111 games (+7.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 away games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 110 games (+17.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+17.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 104 games (+13.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 67-52 against the Run Line (+6.53 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 54-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.77 Units / -8.92% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 64-55 against the Run Line (+17.15 Units / 12.39% ROI).
- 70-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.94% ROI
- 66-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.4 Units / 15.81% ROI
- 42-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.05 Units / -23.77% ROI
Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jacob Young (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (264/958) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (161/461) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (423/1,202) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (518/1,526) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has a strikeout rate of just 21% (5 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (84/302) against Trevor Rogers on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 50% (217/431) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 55-216 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 33-53 (.384) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 173-226 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 92-16 (.852) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Orioles are 15-9 (.625) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 2,277 strikeouts in 11,426 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are just 5-18 (.217) against the run line (-43.9% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .957 (1,948 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
The Nationals are batting .245 with two-strikes this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .453 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,441 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .778 (1,228 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Orioles hitters are slugging .452 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 269 of 3,959 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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