- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Nationals are 55-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 64-56 ATS.
Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-4, 4.38 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-9, 4.65 ERA
Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 50 games (+32.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+18.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 112 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 112 games (+8.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 57 away games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+18.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 111 games (+16.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 105 games (+11.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 68-52 against the Run Line (+7.53 Units / 4.74% ROI).
- 55-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 4.52% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.76% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.87 Units / -9.68% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 64-56 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 11.58% ROI).
- 70-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.81% ROI
- 67-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.4 Units / 16.45% ROI
- 42-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.15 Units / -24.4% ROI
Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Coby Mayo (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 29% (63 SO in 217 PAs) this season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.
39 of Davidjohn Herz’s 63 strikeouts (62%) have come on fastballs this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 93rd Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (127/175) of opposing batters this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (12/36 PA’s) this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 20% — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .180 (23-for-128) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (46/249) against Dean Kremer this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .266 (34 Total Bases / 128 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 42% (139/331) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 33-53 (.384) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 174-226 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 35-58 (.376) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Orioles are 124-19 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Orioles are 55-34 (.618) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 995 strikeouts in 5,104 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are batting .246 with two-strikes this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Nationals have an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .452 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,454 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Orioles are 58-31 (.652) against the run line (27.2% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,359 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .344 (2,497 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Orioles vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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