- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: MAS2 | SNPT
The Washington Nationals (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 62-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 77-63 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-7, 4.08 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -225 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+15.30 Units / 102% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+21.40 Units / 357% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.15 Units / 139% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+9.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 68 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+15.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 78-62 against the Run Line (+5.88 Units / 3.2% ROI).
- 62-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -4.64% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.47 Units / -4.17% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-63 against the Run Line (+10.51 Units / 5.79% ROI).
- 66-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 68-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -3.76% ROI
- 67-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.82 Units / -4.46% ROI
Pirates vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Pirates vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 81.1.
Davidjohn Herz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — Framber Valdez has the longest active streak at 17.0.
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 68% (562/822) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 17% (23 SO in 138 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (119 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .908 (238 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .354 (237 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (65-for-215) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 56-227 (.198) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Pirates are just 22-67 (.247) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,420 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,521 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Nationals hitters have just 1,043 strikeouts in 5,367 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are 9-4 (.692) against the run line (66.2% ROI) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 444 strikeouts in 1,313 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,873 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Pirates have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,618 of 17,839 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Pirates vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
