- The Pirates are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | MASN | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 64-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 77-65 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 5-12, 5.44 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-7, 3.91 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Chaparro has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Patrick Corbin has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+20.40 Units / 291% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.40 Units / 78% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 134 games (+11.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 away games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 70 away games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 134 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 103 games (+13.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games at home (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 98 games (+1.80 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 80-62 against the Run Line (+7.88 Units / 4.2% ROI).
- 64-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.56% ROI
- 67-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -4.64% ROI
- 68-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.57 Units / -4.17% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-65 against the Run Line (+8.51 Units / 4.64% ROI).
- 66-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -7.06% ROI
- 69-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 68-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.92 Units / -4.46% ROI
Pirates vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Patrick Corbin (WSH) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .309 (231-for-747) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (211-for-718) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .232 (67-for-289) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (181-for-604) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has struck out 30% (63/209) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (144/423) against Jared Jones this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (9/60) against Jared Jones with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 69% (432/622) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 56-227 (.198) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates are just 6-41 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Pirates are just 7-33 (.175) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Pirates are just 47-64 (.423) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 1,048 strikeouts in 5,383 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are batting just .245 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,205 strikeouts in 11,348 PA’s (19%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 204 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .382 against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .303 (12,088 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 19% of left-handed batters they faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,627 of 17,922 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have 231 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 7.08 runs per game (92/13) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 6.71 (114.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Pirates vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
