- The Rays are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Rays TV Channel: MASN | BSUN
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Nationals are 39-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 39-44 ATS.
Nationals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-7, 5.49 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-4, 3.78 ERA
Nationals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +150 |
| Rays | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -110 | -185 |
Nationals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 away games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 80 games (+24.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 48-34 against the Run Line (+10.98 Units / 10.43% ROI).
- 39-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 11.27% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.03 Units / 0.03% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 39-44 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -9.41% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -7.86% ROI
Rays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .490 (317 Total Bases / 647 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (122-for-392) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (204-for-647) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — fourth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .853 (705 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (112/342) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has walked 5 of 45 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for 4th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (22/102) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Nationals are just 61-102 (.374) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Nationals are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 52-199 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 23-11 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 11-90 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are just 12-25 (.324) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have drawn 119 walks in 2,173 PA’s (6%) when leading off an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Nationals hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,698 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have 181 strikeouts in 554 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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