Nationals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

min read
Chicago White Sox's Yoan Moncada watches his home run off San Diego Padres relief pitcher Robert Suarez during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 29, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 14, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Nationals are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Nationals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Nationals / White Sox TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCH

The Washington Nationals (-125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Nationals are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-21 ATS.

Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.02 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-3, 4.33 ERA

Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals-1.5 +135O 8.5 -120-125
White Sox +1.5 -165U 8.5 +100+105

Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+24.90 Units / 415% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+9.03 Units / 17.73% ROI).

  • 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 24.15% ROI
  • 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.36% ROI
  • 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 7.34% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -8.92% ROI).

  • 12-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
  • 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
  • 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.33% ROI

White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Gavin Sheets (CWS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Paul DeJong (CWS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jacob Young (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Garcia (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Williams (WAS) 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
Chris Flexen (CWS) 3.5 -135 3.5 +105

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,061/2,090) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (335/933) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (577/1,499) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (817/2,090) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 48% (128/264) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 17% (9 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 29 of 178 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (25/47) against Erick Fedde in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 15-25 (.375) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Nationals are just 53-91 (.368) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The White Sox are just 53-19 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 25-48 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Nationals are batting just .092 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Nationals hitters have just 834 strikeouts in 4,273 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (3,916 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,685 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The White Sox are batting just .171 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,789 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,775 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 808 of 7,853 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 15% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 5% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 14% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.