- The Nationals are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- Nationals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / White Sox TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCH
The Washington Nationals (-125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-21 ATS.
Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.02 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-3, 4.33 ERA
Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Nationals | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -120 | -125 |
White Sox | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 +100 | +105 |
Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+24.90 Units / 415% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+9.03 Units / 17.73% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 24.15% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 7.34% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -8.92% ROI).
- 12-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.33% ROI
White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Jacob Young (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,061/2,090) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (335/933) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (577/1,499) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (817/2,090) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 48% (128/264) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 17% (9 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 29 of 178 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (25/47) against Erick Fedde in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 15-25 (.375) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 53-91 (.368) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The White Sox are just 53-19 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 25-48 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .092 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Nationals hitters have just 834 strikeouts in 4,273 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (3,916 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,685 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The White Sox are batting just .171 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,789 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,775 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 808 of 7,853 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 15% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 5% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 14% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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