- The White Sox are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / White Sox TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCH
The Washington Nationals (+120) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-145) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 20-21 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 21-22 ATS.
Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-3, 5.96 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 3-4, 4.63 ERA
Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -120 | +120 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 +100 | -145 |
Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+22.90 Units / 286% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.70 Units / 210% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.85 Units / 126% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 26-15 against the Run Line (+9.43 Units / 17.82% ROI).
- 20-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 22.58% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -15.59% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.08 Units / 6.75% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 21-22 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.56% ROI).
- 13-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -27.42% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -11.47% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.94% ROI
White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Korey Lee (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Senzel (WAS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .443 (27-for-61) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .327 (191-for-584) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .503 (294 Total Bases / 584 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .507 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (32 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (112/248) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (73/141) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (26 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .361 — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 139-190 (.422) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 45-184 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The White Sox are just 25-48 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The White Sox are just 54-19 (.740) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .100 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Nationals hitters have 366 extra-base hits out of 1,168 total hits (just 31%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,872 strikeouts in 9,349 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,831 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox are batting just .172 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The White Sox have scored 30 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .354 (3,207 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,792 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 815 of 7,928 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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