Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 13

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Orioles vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSDT

The Baltimore Orioles (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Orioles are 83-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 78-69 ATS.

Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 10-8, 3.64 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +125O 8 -115-135
Tigers +1.5 -155U 8 -105+115

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+21.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trey Sweeney has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.20 Units / 253% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 138 games (+16.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 100 games (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 60 games (+19.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 79-68 against the Run Line (+16.55 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 83-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 78-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.9 Units / 9.93% ROI
  • 57-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.8 Units / -17.88% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 78-69 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 0.94% ROI).

  • 75-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 73-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.38% ROI
  • 66-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -9% ROI

Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400
Trey Sweeney (DET) 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Eflin (BAL) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

Zach Eflin has walked 17 of 613 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 6 of 324 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .350 (55-for-157) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 225 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Brenan Hanifee this month (4 games) — tied for 4th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .231 — seventh Percentile.

Brenan Hanifee has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 83.1.

Opponents are hitting .333 (6-for-18) against Brenan Hanifee over the last 14 days — tied for 11th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 14th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (6/38) against Brenan Hanifee over the last 14 days — tied for 8th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Orioles are 41-8 (.837) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Orioles are 120-81 (.597) after a loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Orioles are 131-103 (.560) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Tigers are 33-5 (.868) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Tigers are 26-1 (.963) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 28-117 (.193) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have grounded into 65 double plays in 1,028 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .659 (13,330 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,330 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (8,992 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Orioles have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Orioles have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 17 of 369 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6 of 222 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 377 of 5,427 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 853 of 11,500 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
  • Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.