- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Orioles vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSDT
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+130) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Orioles are 83-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 78-69 ATS.
Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 13-8, 3.19 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -155 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +130 |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 66% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jace Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 79-68 against the Run Line (+16.55 Units / 9.35% ROI).
- 83-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 78-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.9 Units / 9.93% ROI
- 57-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.8 Units / -17.88% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 78-69 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 0.94% ROI).
- 75-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.38% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -9% ROI
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (330/493) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (227 Total Bases / 773 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (471/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (7/41) against Brenan Hanifee over the last 14 days — 11th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — 10th Percentile.
Brenan Hanifee has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) over the last 14 days — tied for 6th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Brenan Hanifee has a strike rate of 72% (54/75) over the last 14 days — 4th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Brenan Hanifee has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 83.1.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 33-27 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Orioles are 181-99 (.646) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Orioles are 75-49 (.605) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Tigers are 60-24 (.714) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Tigers are 62-9 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Tigers are 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 152-113 (.571) against the run line (10.1% ROI) after a win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .659 (13,357 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,210 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 19 of 429 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 378 of 5,456 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 18 of 398 batters (4%) this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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