- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSPA | ESPN+ | NSBA | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 38-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 27-27 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-0, 5.20 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 11.41 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+13.70 Units / 98% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+21.60 Units / 86% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+12.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 37 games (+24.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 37 games (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 38 games (+17.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-23 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 14.12% ROI).
- 38-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.75 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.45% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -6.46% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 27-27 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.5% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 3.22% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -11.62% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Blake Snell (SF) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (245/719) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 141 of Taijuan Walker’s 717 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 100 of Taijuan Walker’s 473 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (43/243) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 46 of 320 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (554/1,501) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 31 of 174 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (420/762) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 13-137 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 33-125 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Phillies are 10-77 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 17-94 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Giants are 153-5 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 31-16 (.660) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are just 26-30 (.464) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .505 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .384 (237 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .743 (10,028 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .348 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .406 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Games involving the Giants went UNDER in 66% of their games (27.1% ROI) after a home loss since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Giants hitters have 1,044 strikeouts in 4,264 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .121 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have won 64% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 27 of 477 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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