- The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: NSPA | SNY | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 28-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 19-20 ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-3, 3.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 2-1, 3.38 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Johan Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games at home (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 22-19 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 8.01% ROI).
- 28-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 13.68% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -2% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -7.07% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-20 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.91% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -2.71% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -12.64% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 3.85% ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (90/132) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (174/355) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (230/391) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (285/583) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 11 of 63 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a first-pitch strike rate of just 38% (9/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a strike rate of just 60% (334/559) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 6 of 36 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Phillies are 54-38 (.587) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Phillies are 94-8 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Phillies are 70-47 (.598) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 7-137 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Mets are just 9-44 (.170) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .508 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .744 (9,684 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .758 (1,018 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Phillies are batting .261 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .618 (811 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mets hitters are slugging just .329 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (9,609 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .121 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 45 of 352 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 175 of 1,503 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 57 of 458 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 15 of 109 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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