- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: NSPA | ROTV
The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+190) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Phillies are 37-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 27-23 ATS.
Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 6-2, 3.08 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 1-7, 5.89 ERA
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -2.5 -105 | O 10.5 -110 | -250 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | U 10.5 -110 | +190 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+16.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+15.70 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 49 games (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+15.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 55% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 35 games (+24.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+21.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 35 games (+20.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+18.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+15.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-22 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 15.45% ROI).
- 37-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.8 Units / 17.11% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -6.53% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 27-23 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -1.13% ROI).
- 17-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -10.9% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.23% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -6.21% ROI
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Johan Rojas (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Dakota Hudson (COL) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .188 (118-for-628) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .230 (662 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .195 (24-for-123) against Aaron Nola this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 85th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (274/756) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .493 (33-for-67) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .347 — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (117/210) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 9-76 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Phillies are 108-28 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Phillies are 37-18 (.673) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 53-25 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 53-32 (.624) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .347 (708 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .396 (225 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
The Phillies have scored first in 91% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Phillies are batting .406 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (19 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 67% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .129 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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